Trader Size › Track record
Track record
This page shows the real hit rates of Trader Size predictions — match result, correct score and the 4CC0P method — over the last 30 and 90 days and since the start, always next to a baseline. The numbers are recalculated every day and the matches from the last 90 days can be downloaded as a CSV, match by match.
The baseline is the hit rate of a naive strategy over the same set of matches: always picking the home win (result) or always picking the most frequent score (correct score).
How it works
- We store each prediction with the date and time it was registered.
- After the match, we fetch the official score and compare.
- We recalculate the rates by model, by league and for the model consensus.
- We publish everything, including the bad periods.
Real numbers
The numbers are being updated. Please check back in a few hours.
Limitations
Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. Past results do not ensure future results. Trader Size is not a betting site and does not accept bets. Content for people aged 18 and over.
Frequently asked questions
Are the numbers edited?
No. They are calculated automatically every day from predictions registered before the matches, and the CSV for the last 90 days lets you check match by match.
Why are some matches left out?
Matches are excluded when the prediction was registered after the cutoff (kickoff, or 07:00 Brasília time when the kickoff time is not recorded), Liga MX matches without an exact kickoff time, and matches whose official score could not be verified in the public database. The number of non-verifiable matches appears in the table.
How often is it updated?
Once a day. The date of the last update appears at the top of the table.